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2024-12-14 11:09:37

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Trump is reported to have talked about dividends and capital gains tax.The change value of EIA natural gas inventory in the week of December 6 in the United States recorded-190 billion cubic feet, the largest decline since the week of January 26, 2024. Expected-165 billion cubic feet, previous value-30 billion cubic feet.


The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the exchange rate of the euro against the US dollar will be 1.08 in 2024 and 1.06 in 2025, 2026 and 2027.Sullivan, US National Security Adviser: I have had a good discussion with my successor to ensure a smooth handover.Netac Technology: A joint working group was established with ZTE to continuously promote the landing of orders. Netac Technology released a record of investor relations activities, and Netac Technology continued to strengthen cooperation with ZTE at the strategic level. The two sides have jointly established a joint working group and continued to promote the landing of orders. The bidding work for some projects has been started. The next step is to focus on obtaining stable and substantial orders and continuously create a computing ecological pattern. In addition, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area storage base covers a wide range, and related work is in the process of promotion. The suspension and restriction of sales of NVIDIA Gaosuanlike has no significant impact on Netac Technology. The company has launched a heterogeneous computing power dispatching platform, and has maintained a good cooperative relationship with domestic computing power card manufacturers. The dispatching platform gives priority to recommending customers to test and adapt domestic computing power cards, and related work is in progress.


Zhang Yiqun, Vice Chairman of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association: The fiscal deficit will be greatly increased or released over 5 trillion yuan next year, and the Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Zhang Yiqun, deputy director of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association, said that the fiscal deficit will be greatly increased on the basis of 3% this year, and it is estimated that deficit ratio will be in the range of 3.5% to 4% next year, which will release more than 5 trillion yuan of space.Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association: Boosting consumption ranks first in the key work next year. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association and founding president of the National Research Institute of New Economics, told reporters that boosting consumption is the top priority of economic work next year, ranking first in the key work next year, which is based on the new changes and new demands of the current economic situation. Among the specific measures to boost consumption, the highlights include the implementation of the special action to boost consumption, the implementation of the "two new" policy, and greater support for the "two new" projects. These measures are aimed at promoting consumption growth in an all-round way by optimizing the consumption environment, increasing consumption supply and improving consumption quality. (SSE)Netac Technology: A joint working group was established with ZTE to continuously promote the landing of orders. Netac Technology released a record of investor relations activities, and Netac Technology continued to strengthen cooperation with ZTE at the strategic level. The two sides have jointly established a joint working group and continued to promote the landing of orders. The bidding work for some projects has been started. The next step is to focus on obtaining stable and substantial orders and continuously create a computing ecological pattern. In addition, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area storage base covers a wide range, and related work is in the process of promotion. The suspension and restriction of sales of NVIDIA Gaosuanlike has no significant impact on Netac Technology. The company has launched a heterogeneous computing power dispatching platform, and has maintained a good cooperative relationship with domestic computing power card manufacturers. The dispatching platform gives priority to recommending customers to test and adapt domestic computing power cards, and related work is in progress.

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